EV Sales Forecast — Energy Dashboard

Region

Solid = historical · Dashed = forecast · Hover for details

About this chart

Tracks total EV sales volume across global markets from early adoption through mass-market acceleration to eventual saturation — following a classic S-curve diffusion pattern.
Solid lines show historical actual EV sales drawn directly from IEA source data.
Dashed lines show modelled forecast projections of EV sales through 2035, fitted using a logistic curve.
The S-curve moves through three phases: early growth (slow initial uptake) → acceleration (rapid mass-market expansion near the inflection year) → saturation (growth flattens as the market approaches its ceiling).
Use the Region dropdown to switch between markets. Hover the chart for exact values at each data point.

Forecast Model

Select a region above · Solid line = historical sales · Dashed line = forecast to 2035

Projected peak share

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Saturation level (S-curve asymptote)

Inflection year

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Year of fastest adoption growth

Current share

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Latest year in dataset

Growth rate

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Avg. annual sales increase (last 3 yr)

Historical actuals — solid lines show real EV sales volume recorded by the IEA, capturing the market as it actually developed from early adoption onward.
Forecast projections — dashed lines extend the fitted model through 2035, representing modelled projections rather than confirmed data.
S-curve adoption pattern — the trajectory follows a logistic diffusion curve: an initial slow-growth phase as the market establishes itself, a rapid acceleration phase once adoption reaches critical mass, and a flattening saturation phase as the addressable market fills.
Region selector — each region has its own fitted curve with independently estimated growth rate (k), inflection year (t₀), and saturation ceiling (L). Use the dropdown above to compare trajectories across markets.
Stat tiles — the four tiles below the chart update automatically to show the selected region's projected peak share, inflection year, current share, and recent average growth rate.